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Global Trade 2016

The post-Brexit fandango To leave the EU cleanly the UK must make sure that this path leads to unilateral free trade and not some half-hearted protectionist substitute, Patrick Minford argues The state and prospects of the euro area recovery Mario Draghi writes about the factors that have put the euro area economy on a stronger footing, but also the reasons why we cannot yet drop our guard Trump triumphs, Europe shocked Fraser Cameron examines the implications of Trump's victory and looks at how Europe should react Trump’s rhetoric: retrenchment, status quo or deepening engagement? Stephen Nagy examines the potential effects Trump’s policies will have on trade and security in East Asia Trumped up trade: the end of an era The days of US fiscal restraint, and of global trade growth outpacing GDP growth, are now over, Sebastian Dullien writes Better, faster, stronger: how freer trade fosters global innovation Karen-Helene Ulltveit-Moe, Andreas Moxnes and Federica Coelli present new evidence on the benefits of freer trade in terms of growth and innovation Why China’s new cybersecurity law is a threat to international businesses & innovation George Haour writes on China and cybersecurity and the potential ripples in the way China does business Britain’s Asian opportunity Brexit offers the UK an opportunity to develop a more independent trade policy towards Asia, asserts Ganeshan Wignaraja What does China's 'belt and road initiative' mean for EU trade? OBOR will bring huge improvements in regional and international connectivity, Alicia García-Herrero and Jianwei Xu explain What consequences would a post-Brexit China-UK trade deal have for the EU? Alicia García-Herrero and Jianwei Xu find that a UK-China FTA will be neither easy nor clearly advantageous for the UK The great normalisation of global trade Alexander Al-Haschimi, Martin Gächter, David Lodge and Walter Steingress find that an upturn in aggregate demand will not necessarily lead to a significant recovery in global trade Europe after Brexit: a proposal for a continental partnership Jean Pisani-Ferry, Norbert Röttgen, André Sapir, Paul Tucker, and Guntram B Wolff propose a new form of collaboration, a continental partnership, that will maintain Europe and the UK’s influence in an increasingly volatile world Negotiating Britain’s new trade policy Jim Rollo and Alan Winters suggest some strategies for the UK government to follow in reconstituting its trade policy post-Brexit The G20: business engagement for a sustainable and inclusive global economy CEOs from across G20 economies call for a credible action plan to open markets, mobilize private sector capital and make it easier to trade internationally, International Chamber of Commerce write Emissions scandal driving more regulatory scrutiny for automotive sector Regulatory scrutiny has long been a burden for businesses but by implementing proactive compliance strategies the costs and fines associated with regulatory investigations can be significantly reduced, Lauren Grest finds The Apple tax bill is not protectionism International conflicts are inevitable when governments challenge the excesses of multinational corporations, Sebastian Dullien writes CETA: ratification fears and implementation challenges There seems to be enough political support for the agreement on both sides of the Atlantic for CETA to come into force on a provisional basis sometime in 2017, says Patrick Leblond A roadmap for a post-Brexit EU Brexit is a blow to the European idea, but it also presents an opportunity for Europeans to discuss a realistic future, Petros Fassoulas writes Basic income - free money for everyone? Fleur de Beaufort examines the growing calls for the introduction of some form of unconditional basic income in Europe The rise of sustainable FDI: emerging trends in the SADC region Growing FDI inflows into Africa has led to countries re-examining their FDI policies to align them with the international trend toward sustainable FDI, Chelsea Markowitz and Azwimpheleli write High expectations Geethanjali Nataraj and Pravakar Sahoo state that it is important that expectations of China’s Presidency of the G20 be realistic and that it be focused on what can be achieved in any single year 800 million reasons Hun Kim says South Asia is set to become the fastest growing region in Asia, with more opportunities to do business than ever before How Chinese parties can prepare for increasing outbound disputes Chinese parties can mitigate investment risks by including dispute resolution provisions in their joint venture agreements that can help them deal with any later problems, Shaun Wu and Andrew Wang write EU-China FTA: why do we need it? How should it look like? What will it bring? The economic potential in bilateral trade could be significant, Federica Mustilli, Mattia Di Salvo and Wenian Hu find Trade matters for jobs and growth The International Chamber of Commerce would like to hear more talk about why trade matters; how the gains from trade are realized; and about how concerns about trade’s disruptions can best be handled The EU agenda for tax transparency Pierre Moscovici says we are witnessing a generational shift when it comes to tax transparency in the EU and internationally Why the Confederation can’t solve the Union’s problems Benjamin Zeeb and Julia Berghofer discuss multiple crises in Europe and argue that the Europeans have to build up a political union that is able to defend common interests by means of democratically legitimised institutions How the blockchain enables a new economy This crypto economy will transfigure businesses, government and our society, perhaps even more profoundly than the internet did, says William Mougayar Important steps made towards a Digital Single Market Andrus Ansip writes that the European Commission has made a major advance towards creating a true Digital Single Market (DSM) for Europe, with two new packages of initiatives Europe’s digital transformation Measures designed to speed up the digital transformation of industry should remain at the core of what the EU is trying to achieve, John Higgins writes Modi 2.0: revisiting relationship capitalism Deepanshu Mohan asks if the government can make a move from relationship capitalism to one where the markets compete freely across sectors Pyramid vs. oceanic circles. Facilitating sub-regional trade for sustainable development Bipul Chatterjee and Susan Mathew deliberate on why South Asia needs to adopt an oceanic circle model vis-à-vis pyramid model for facilitating trade 40 years of OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises The Guidelines are more than ever a key international reference document for responsible business conduct for companies around the world, Winand Quaedvlieg and Hanni Rosenbaum find The South China Sea in 2016. Towards recognising the global public good of the SCS Stephen Nagy discusses what is at stake in the South China Sea for countries in and outside the region G20 missed opportunities on trade and investment The International Chamber of Commerce Scorecard has revealed that the G20 made progress on a number of international business priorities but missed some important opportunities to advance trade and international investment policy frameworks Will India be able to achieve and sustain high growth rates? Richa Sekhani and Geethanjali Nataraj write that sustaining the growth rate requires India to take necessary steps to address both supply and demand side bottlenecks Solutions to the digital trade imbalance Susan Ariel Aaronson discusses how governments use trade agreements and policies to address cross-border internet issues and to limit digital protectionism Why leaving is the safer option Oliver Lewis says relations will be friendlier after a vote to leave as the United Kingdom will stop blocking European efforts to integrate Restricted access for migrants: a liberal justification Liberals see freedom of movement as vital, but it must always be limited by the freedom of others not to be disturbed, Fleur de Beaufort and Patrick van Schie write Japan’s new international role Fraser Cameron considers the reasons for Japan’s more active global role and assesses the implications for EU-Japan relations What fosters innovation? The International Chamber of Commerce has issued a set of principles to support innovation as a key driver of economic growth, job creation and broad-based opportunity Combating hiring discrimination with anonymous job applications Ulf Rinne says discrimination is still a big problem in today’s globalised world

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